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Tags: polling | trump | approval rating | bias

There They Go Again, Skewing the Polls Against Trump

There They Go Again, Skewing the Polls Against Trump
U.S. President Donald Trump waves during a rally on September 22, 2017, in Huntsville, Alabama. (Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images)

Dan Perkins By Monday, 25 September 2017 03:35 PM Current | Bio | Archive

I wonder: is manipulating data to try and produce the outcome you want considered fake news, or is it purposefully misleading the American people? I started watching the sampling data of the Democrats before Trump won the nomination in the summer of 2016. I was one of the first to point out that the media pollsters were oversampling Democrats to the point that they were adding in more independents than Republicans. In July of 2016, the Marist Polling organization had Hillary up by 15 points.

On October 4, 2016, The Washington Post quoted Mrs. Clinton while at an appearance in Orlando Florida, “I don’t understand why I’m not up 50 points.” The overweighting of the Democrats in the polling samples led to what was expected to be an easy victory for Hillary.

When election night came, by 10 p.m. it was clear that Mrs. Clinton was not going to win. The tears on the Democrats faces were evidence that the news media had been drinking Kool-Aid while predicting her victory. To this day the national media are unable to admit that the polling data they used was corrupt and that they were corrupt in using the false data to try and deliver a victory for Hillary and the Democrats.

Now comes the new insight that the Democrats are doing the same thing again by trying to convince the American electorate that the president is unwanted and unfit. They believe by citing their polling data they can undermine the support for President Trump.

This time things are different, for I believe the Trump detractors are complicit in the falsehoods being fed to the American people. The Washington Examiner recently featured a column written by Paul Bedard. In this article he said that Bombthrowers.com reported The Economist used 58 percent more Democrats than Republicans in a recent poll on Trump's approval ratings. Bedard reviewed seven major polling firms, and the average pollster oversampling of Democrats was 29 percent. Oversampling of this magnitude could affect a poll by eight to ten points, thus understating President Trump’s popularity. Oversampling became the reason by which Trump was made to look weak.

By overweighting the polling mix, the Democrats and the liberal media got the numbers they wanted. They could take those numbers and say things like 40 percent of Americans want Trump impeached. Alex Pfeiffer, White House Correspondent for the Daily Caller, reported on July 17, 2017, that the most recent polling data he had seen showed that 41 percent of the American public favored impeachment, while 53 percent were opposed to the president. If the polling data was tilted in favor of Republicans, then those in favor of impeachment would likely be considerably lowered. If however that number dropped, then look for the pollsters to increase the percentage of Democrats in the polling samples.

We add a new co-conspirator to the mix: Wall Street. Tom Kertscher, writing for the Journal Sentinel in October of 2016, said he estimated that Hillary got $65 million from Wall St., while Trump received less than $2 million.

Wall Street was trying to scare us to vote for Hillary, and that if Trump were to be elected, it would be very bad for the markets. Kertscher cited the work of two economics professors, who provided us with a glimpse as to how the stock market might react if Donald Trump were elected. One of the economists said his findings pointed to a sharp, immediate sell-off if Trump won and a slight rally if Clinton won. The amount of the rally or sell-off depended on the predicted outcome.

So how good was the projection? The professor thought the S&P 500 would be down 7 percent. As of this writing, the market was up 21.8 percent, as measured by the S&P 500. Wall Street now is crying wolf again to try and scare voters to support the ouster of Trump. The following are the predictions from leading Wall Street gurus, according to J L Yastine of The Sovereign Investor: Several noted economists and distinguished investors are warning of a stock market crash.

Jim Rogers, who founded the Quantum Fund with George Soros, went apoplectic when he said, “A $68 trillion ‘Biblical’ collapse is poised to wipe out millions of Americans.” He didn't say anything about the rest of the world.

Mark Faber, Dr. Doom himself, recently told CNBC that “investors are on the Titanic” and stocks are about to “endure a gut-wrenching drop that would rival the greatest crashes in stock market history.” Again, he didn't speak about the rest of the world.

And last but not least, the prophetic economist Andrew Smithers warns, “U.S. stocks are now about 80 percent overvalued.” He didn't speak about his evaluation of the rest of the world markets.

For those of you who are investors, we thought the financial world was coming to an end in September 2008. But it didn’t, and we have been setting all-time highs ever since. Markets do not go up forever, but they eventually correct and build a base to move even higher.

Wall Street crying wolf is part of the coordinated effort to discredit President Trump by any means possible. They are joining the other detractors in condemning Trump. Yet he seems to be taking all the attacks in stride, is fighting back and continues to push his ideas for the American people.

At his recent appearance at the United Nations he said what many Americans, including those who don’t currently support him, we're glad to hear, a president who said, " America First."

Dan Perkins is an author of both thrillers and children’s books. He appears on over 1,100 radio stations. Mr. Perkins appears regularly on international TV talk shows, he is current events commentator for seven blogs, and a philanthropist with his foundation for American veterans, Songs and Stories for Soldiers, Inc. More information about him, his writings, and other works are available on his website, DanPerkins.guru. To read more of his reports — Click Here Now.

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Now comes the new insight that the Democrats are doing the same thing again by trying to convince the American electorate that the president is unwanted and unfit. They believe by citing their polling data they can undermine the support for President Trump.
polling, trump, approval rating, bias
Monday, 25 September 2017 03:35 PM
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