Tags: Sentiment | Indicators | Change

Sentiment Indicators Show Sharp Changes in Opposite Directions

By    |   Tuesday, 13 March 2012 09:15 AM EDT

Two of the sentiment indicators that I watch closely are the Investors Intelligence report and the Rydex Nova/Ursa ratio.

To review, the Rydex family of funds has the Nova Fund which is a bullish fund and targets a return that is 150 percent of the return of the S&P 500. The Ursa fund is a bearish fund and targets a negative 100 percent correlation to the S&P 500.

The ratio is simply the assets of the Nova fund divided by the assets on the Ursa fund. The higher the ratio, the more bullish investors are and the lower the ratio, investors are more pessimistic.

In the last month, the Nova/Ursa ratio has jumped from 0.29 to 0.44. This is the highest reading for the ratio since mid-November when it hit 0.46. This tells us that investors are becoming more bullish.

The Investors Intelligence report measures the bullish and bearish percentages of investment newsletters and it recent weeks it has seen the optimism fade a little.

In mid-February, the bullish percentage spiked to 54.8 percent which was its highest reading since last spring. Over the last three weeks the bullish percentage has fallen to 47.9 percent. This move indicates that newsletter publishers are becoming more cautious.

With these two indicators heading in different directions and the volume pathetically low, I think there is confusion and indifference in the market right now.





© 2025 Newsmax Finance. All rights reserved.


230
2012-15-13
Tuesday, 13 March 2012 09:15 AM
Newsmax Media, Inc.

Sign up for Newsmax’s Daily Newsletter

Receive breaking news and original analysis - sent right to your inbox.

(Optional for Local News)
Privacy: We never share your email address.
Join the Newsmax Community
Read and Post Comments
Please review Community Guidelines before posting a comment.
 
Newsmax2 Live
 
On Now:2:00p ET • National Desk
Coming Up:4:00p ET • Newswire
Get Newsmax Text Alerts

Newsmax, Moneynews, Newsmax Health, and Independent. American. are registered trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc. Newsmax TV, and Newsmax World are trademarks of Newsmax Media, Inc.

NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© 2025 Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved
NEWSMAX.COM
MONEYNEWS.COM
© Newsmax Media, Inc.
All Rights Reserved