There are 10 Senate seats that could change parties in 2016, and the Democrats could win back the Senate, according to analysis by The Washington Post
The Democrats have only 10 Senate seats that they will need to defend in the next election cycle. By comparison, the Republicans have 24 Senate seats to defend, while the Democrats seem to be recruiting strong candidates to challenge GOP incumbents, the Post said.
According to the Post, the Democrats' most likely chance of regaining a seat is in the Land of Lincoln against Sen. Mark Kirk, since former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton will likely win that state.
While the Post contends that Wisconsin "is a prime pickup opportunity for Democrats," as former Sen. Russ Feingold has a lead over Sen. Ron Johnson in the polls, the paper notes that he ran a terrible campaign against the Wisconsin Republican in 2010.
There are good chances Democrats will be successful in New Hampshire, North Carolina and Pennsylvania where they have solid top-tier recruits such as New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan and former North Carolina Sen. Kay Hagan. Former Pennsylvania Rep. Joe Sestak may be the nominee for that state, but many in the party are also pushing Katie McGinty, the chief of staff for Gov. Tom Wolf, according to the Post.
While Republicans could pick up seats in both Colorado and Nevada, they are still working on good recruits for those contests. Nevada Rep. Joe Heck may run for Senate in the Silver State, but Republicans will need to find a good candidate in Colorado after Rep. Mike Coffman said he won't run.
According to the Post, the biggest problem that Democrats have in trying to fill Florida Sen. Marco Rubio's seat is Rep. Alan Grayson, who wants to challenge Rep. Patrick Murphy, the party's pick. However, the Republicans could also have a challenging primary between tea party favorite Rep. Ron DeSantis and Lt. Gov. Carlos Lopez-Cantera.
Polls are showing former Ohio Democrat Gov. Ted Strickland is ahead of Republican Sen. Rob Portman. Republicans say that Strickland likely polling well because he has name recognition in the state, and the Post agrees. But this is a state where the presidential race will also likely play a role, depending on which direction this swing state goes.
Arizona Republican Sen. John McCain is up for re-election ins 2016, and Democratic Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick is planning on challenging the veteran senator. She is reportedly hoping that it will benefit her if he faces a primary challenge from Rep. Matt Salmon, although Salmon has yet to say that he will run.
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