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Tags: polls | donald trump | kamala harris | swing states | election | economy | immigration

WSJ Poll: Trump Holds 1-Point Lead in Swing States

By    |   Friday, 11 October 2024 11:37 AM EDT

Vice President Kamala Harris would capture the presidency if she wins the battleground states she currently leads even though voters see former President Donald Trump as being better equipped to handle the issues they care about most, a new poll by The Wall Street Journal found.

Still, the survey results released Friday show that the presidential race in every key swing state remains too close to call.

Trump receives 46% support and Harris gets 45% overall in the survey of seven key battleground states.

Harris holds narrow leads in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Georgia on ballots that include independent and third-party candidates. Trump has slim advantages in Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.

If Harris wins the states where she leads, she would win a small majority in the Electoral College, the poll found.

Except for Trump's 5-point cushion in Nevada, no lead is greater than 2 percentage points, within the poll's margin of error.

"This thing is a dead heat and is going to come down to the wire. These last three weeks matter," said David Lee, a GOP pollster who worked on the survey with Democrat Michael Bocian.

"It really could not be closer," Bocian said. "It's an even-steven, tight, tight race."

The Journal's survey results were released a day after Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey results also found that Trump and Harris virtually are tied in seven key battleground states.

The Journal poll found that pretty much all Republicans (93%) and Democrats (93%) support their respective party's candidate, and independent voters are evenly divided (40% for Harris and 39% for Trump).

Harris is doing better in several of those states than President Joe Biden did before he dropped out of the race in July, outperforming Biden's numbers in the Journal's March survey by 6 points in Arizona, 5 points in Georgia, and 4 points in North Carolina.

Trump's share has changed little in the battleground states since March.

When asked about specific issues in the new Journal poll, voters say Trump would be better than Harris addressing the economy (plus-10 percentage points) and immigration (plus-16).

The economy and immigration are voters' top two concerns, respectively.

Harris holds a 16-point lead over Trump when voters are asked about the abortion issue. Some 61% say they want abortion to be legal in all or most cases.

The Wall Street Journal poll was conducted Sept. 28-Oct. 8 among 600 registered voters in each of seven states. The margin of error for the full sample is plus/minus 1.5 percentage points and 4 percentage points for results from any one state.

Charlie McCarthy

Charlie McCarthy, a writer/editor at Newsmax, has nearly 40 years of experience covering news, sports, and politics.

© 2024 Newsmax. All rights reserved.


Politics
Vice President Kamala Harris would capture the presidency if she wins the battleground states she currently leads even though voters see former President Donald Trump as being better equipped to handle the issues they care about most, a new poll found.
polls, donald trump, kamala harris, swing states, election, economy, immigration, abortion
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Friday, 11 October 2024 11:37 AM
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