Hillary Clinton has a surprising lead over Donald Trump in the 2016 presidential race in Arizona, a new poll shows.
The Phoenix-based
OH Predictive Insights survey breaks down this way:
- Clinton: 46.5 percent
- Trump: 42.2 percent
- Third-party candidate: 5.8 percent
- Undecided: 5.6 percent
No Democratic presidential nominee has won in Arizona since 1996, when President Bill Clinton defeated Bob Dole, the only GOP presidential nominee to endorse Trump, the
Washington Examiner notes.
In 2012, Mitt Romney beat President Barack Obama in Arizona by 10 points.
"It's shocking to think that a Democratic presidential candidate would carry Arizona if the election were held today, considering that every statewide office in Arizona is held by a Republican as well as significant majorities in the Arizona House and Senate," Wes Gullett, a partner in the polling firm tells
Phoenix Business Journal.
"Arizona should be a reliable red state."
According to pollster Mike Noble, Clinton has a 12-point lead over Trump with women, and holds a 17-point lead in Tucson; Trump leads Clinton by 6 points in the rural part of state.
"However, when it came to Maricopa County, both candidates were virtually tied," Noble said.
The Journal notes the bulk of Arizona's population lives in Maricopa County.
The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 3 percentage points.
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