Pennsylvania voters could decide who will win the White House, with demographics pointing to a slight GOP tilt, reports FiveThirtyEight.
The Keystone State is significantly whiter than the U.S. as a whole, and the coalition that elected President Donald Trump in 2016 is made up chiefly of rural conservatives and white voters who did not attend college.
Seventy-five percent of residents in Pennsylvania identify as non-Hispanic white (versus 60% nationally).
Still, FiveThirtyEight says Republicans might not benefit from 30.8% of Pennsylvania’s adults 25 and older having a bachelor’s degree – 55% of white voters with a four-year college degree or more education voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Among the much larger group of white voters who had not completed college (44% of all voters), Trump won by more than two-to-one (64% to 28%).
Pennsylvania is one of the most hotly contested states in the election. Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden had a 7-point lead in the state three weeks ago, but the race has tightened in recent days.
Both candidates hit the state hard in recent days, with Trump claiming that Biden will decimate the state’s fossil fuels industry. Biden has made Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic a central issue of his campaign and has pushed that the president is trying to dismantle the Affordable Care Act in the middle of the crisis.
Solange Reyner ✉
Solange Reyner is a writer and editor for Newsmax. She has more than 15 years in the journalism industry reporting and covering news, sports and politics.
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