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Tags: John Zogby | pollster | elections | Barack Obama

Zogby: If Elections Are Close, Things Will Get 'Ugly'

By    |   Tuesday, 04 November 2014 10:40 AM EST

There will be problems if tonight’s election results are razor-thin, pollster John Zogby said Tuesday on "America’s Forum" on Newsmax TV, opining that "elections simply are not meant to be close."

"When you do have close elections and these sorts of things rise to the fore and then you see just how nasty the process is, how ill prepared many election commissioners are on a county level, and just how, dare I say the word corrupt, things can get and actually on both sides and so better to have Nixon-McGovern election and then we can all move on," he said. "When they get close, it's ugly."

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Though polls overwhelmingly predict a big night for Republicans, Democrats’ ability to get out the vote could swing the outcome, according to Zogby.

"We've seen in a few occasions that Barack and Michelle Obama are at their best getting the base out to vote, particularly young people and that's the fly in the ointment for what otherwise looks to be a very big GOP day," Zogby said. "We'll see and we'll know through the day if we see some pastel-colored smartphones and some iPods going into the polls, seeing some young people we'll see that it's worked, but right now anyway the burden really is on the Obamas to get that vote out."

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Zogby predicts a victory for Florida’s Democratic gubernatorial candidate Charlie Crist, a result Zogby thinks will be swayed by the Libertarian in the race, Adrian Wyllie.

"I'm a bit of an outlier, but I know my history in Florida," Zogby said. "I've never even come close to getting them wrong and there's a third candidate, there's a Libertarian there that really messes things up, kind of the jury is still deliberating as to who Wyllie the Libertarian hurts more, but it does look like he's hurting [Republican Gov.] Rick Scott a bit more than Charlie Crist, but I have Charlie Crist leading by 7. I don't know that he does that much, but there's a big vote in South Florida that he can expect and that he's doing well in the famous I-4 corridor, that's the swing vote of the state."

In the Senate race in Kentucky, Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell can expect to stay in the post, Zogby predicted.

"He was on the ropes earlier, but Allison Grimes ran a very poor race," he said. "She was put in a difficult situation, but there's one state incidentally where Obamacare is working, but she ignored it and there is a situation where she denied her own president of the United States.

"Regardless of what your feelings are about the president of the United States, he's not very popular in Kentucky, but he is the message and he is the messenger, and to deny your own party's message and messenger, she denied herself."

In North Carolina, Sen. Kay Hagan, a Democrat, could hold onto her seat if enough black voters turn out.

"Early voting is showing that a sufficient number of African-Americans are coming out, in fact, considerably more are coming out in 2014 than came out in 2010," said Zogby, who said President Obama’s ability to get Dems to the polls in the Research Triangle and Charlotte areas could be a game-changer.

On the other hand, if Republicans emerge controlling both houses, voters will expect them to "get something done," according to Zogby.

"They cannot go into 2016 running against the do-nothing Congress, so they're going to have to put some things up on the board as serious accomplishments and I do believe that will happen," he said. "Immigration, trade, those are things that have to be done and that both sides understand have to get done."

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There will be problems if tonight's election results are razor-thin, pollster John Zogby said Tuesday on "America's Forum" on Newsmax TV, opining that elections simply are not meant to be close.
John Zogby, pollster, elections, Barack Obama
Tuesday, 04 November 2014 10:40 AM
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