Despite all the buzz about the possibility of Vice President Joe Biden making a last-minute entry into the race for the White House, the vast majority of Democratic insiders in Iowa and New Hampshire don't think it will happen, according to a Politico Caucus
, a weekly bipartisan survey of strategists, activists and operatives int the two early voting states.
"He's a truly wonderful man universally loved by NH Democrats, but I can't imagine him undertaking such a monumental underdog effort at such a difficult time for his family and with the massive monetary, people and campaign advantages of the Clinton campaign," said one New Hampshire Democrat, referencing the May 30 death of Biden's 46-year-old son, Beau, from cancer.
An Iowa Dem agreed, opining that Biden "will flirt with it, but at the end of the day he won't run. There isn't a real path here for him to the White House this late in the game."
The group surveyed felt overwhelmingly — eight out of 10 — that Biden is still grieving his son's death and that the feeling of second lady Jill Biden (she's said to be "uninterested" in another national campaign) — will lead Biden to "recognize that the hill is too steep and the rock too large at this late date," according to a New Hampshire Democrat.
Another put it more bluntly, saying Biden "is a loyal Democrat and he must know his late entry would not be good for the party; it would also not be good for his legacy; if he runs he will never be as liked and well-respected for his service as he is today."
A Biden candidacy is seen by many as a backup plan in case the email scandal plaguing presumed nominee Hillary Clinton should result in her demise.
, political statistician and creator of the website FiveThirtyEight.com, said earlier this month that a Biden candidacy so late in the game "would imply that Clinton's campaign was under serious threat" and serve merely as an "insurance policy" for Democrats.
"Biden has little rationale to enter the race this late except as a break-glass-in-case-of-Clinton-emergency candidate," Silver wrote.
Clinton maintains that she wants Biden, whom she calls a "friend," to make the best decision for him and his family, according to CNN.
"I mean, I cannot even imagine the grief and the heartbreak," she said this week after a campaign event in Iowa.
"I mean, Joe has had more terrible events than most people can even, you know, contemplate. Losing his first wife, losing his first daughter, now losing his son," Clinton said.
"He has to do what he has to do. But I'm just going to continue with my campaign."
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