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Tags: ecb | private deals | european | markets

The ECB's Private Deals Are Distorting the European Markets

The ECB's Private Deals Are Distorting the European Markets

(Getty Images)

John Mauldin By Monday, 12 September 2016 07:07 AM Current | Bio | Archive

 

ECB President Mario Draghi famously pledged to do “whatever it takes” to restore eurozone growth. His attempts to fulfill that promise have led to NIRP and other bizarre policies like the central bank’s massive asset purchases.

Whether the ECB’s interventions are helping the eurozone economy is not yet clear. But they are certainly having consequences. One is the appearance, if not the reality, of central bank interference and favoritism.

The ECB is making private transactions

The ECB’s corporate bond-buying program, for instance, was originally going to purchase already existing bonds on the open market. But, it has morphed into a kind of closed market in which a favored group of companies issues bonds tailored to ECB specs.

The ECB just went a step further and bought bonds directly from two Spanish companies through private placements according to a recent Wall Street Journal report. One was to the Spanish oil company Repsol and the other to Iberdrola—an electric power utility. Morgan Stanley acted as underwriter in both cases.

In other words, the ECB bypassed public markets and simply loaned money to selected companies. They weren’t even going to tell anyone.

Now, maybe the ECB had good reason to make these two private transactions. I don’t know, and they won’t say. But we shouldn’t have to wonder.

Here’s the reality. The ECB is buying so much of the corporate bond market in Europe that it became difficult for it to find things to purchase on the public markets. As a result, the ECB must look into the private markets.

False data from private purchases hurt investors

One of the great ironies is that European divisions of US companies are creating loans so they can get the ECB to buy them. It makes perfect sense from the company’s standpoint.

The problem is that this generates false market data that leads other players to make bad decisions.

The ECB is digging itself a deeper hole

European bond investors don’t have clean data that will let them make confident decisions. Some will withdraw from the bond market, leaving the ECB even more of a monopoly purchaser than it already is.

That’s the opposite of what the ECB claims to want, but its strategy is making the problem worse, not better. 

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JohnMauldin
ECB President Mario Draghi famously pledged to do "whatever it takes" to restore eurozone growth. His attempts to fulfill that promise have led to NIRP and other bizarre policies like the central bank's massive asset purchases.
ecb, private deals, european, markets
408
2016-07-12
Monday, 12 September 2016 07:07 AM
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